Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.064225 0.072532 0.081040 0.090373 0.100294 0.110497 0.121756
2025-07-20 0.048470 0.060462 0.073397 0.088244 0.104679 0.122194 0.142152
2025-07-27 0.041628 0.056183 0.072520 0.091891 0.113933 0.137972 0.165917
2025-08-03 0.035111 0.051134 0.069799 0.092579 0.119118 0.148616 0.183458
2025-08-10 0.030043 0.047062 0.067588 0.093288 0.123838 0.158333 0.199613
2025-08-17 0.025308 0.042796 0.064643 0.092689 0.126664 0.165589 0.212716
2025-08-24 0.020057 0.037211 0.059541 0.089018 0.125467 0.167866 0.219821
2025-08-31 0.016123 0.032907 0.055670 0.086518 0.125379 0.171202 0.227945
2025-09-07 0.013683 0.030427 0.053955 0.086543 0.128215 0.177879 0.239882
2025-09-14 0.012040 0.028937 0.053429 0.087982 0.132714 0.186488 0.254058
2025-09-21 0.011378 0.028913 0.054889 0.091995 0.140429 0.198983 0.272871
2025-09-28 0.009938 0.027420 0.054139 0.092975 0.144237 0.206687 0.285940
2025-10-05 0.010094 0.028846 0.057882 0.100384 0.156739 0.225602 0.313188
2025-10-12 0.007729 0.025474 0.054393 0.097872 0.156493 0.228927 0.321805
2025-10-19 0.007085 0.025205 0.055522 0.101705 0.164475 0.242443 0.342798
2025-10-26 0.005894 0.023630 0.054499 0.102431 0.168325 0.250785 0.357485
2025-11-02 0.004873 0.022188 0.053558 0.103181 0.172147 0.259053 0.372063
2025-11-09 0.003784 0.020307 0.051738 0.102546 0.174036 0.264829 0.383542
2025-11-16 0.002472 0.017361 0.047846 0.098655 0.171370 0.264699 0.387621
2025-11-23 0.001592 0.015113 0.044907 0.096001 0.170251 0.266438 0.393937
2025-11-30 0.001135 0.013937 0.043784 0.096028 0.172766 0.272815 0.406012
2025-12-07 0.000870 0.013321 0.043651 0.097555 0.177349 0.281866 0.421444
2025-12-14 0.000813 0.013596 0.045247 0.101811 0.185779 0.295945 0.443229